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The role of assumptions in ohlson model performance: lessons for improving equity-value modeling

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The role of assumptions in ohlson model performance: lessons for improving equity-value modeling

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dc.contributor.author Fullana Samper, Olga
dc.contributor.author González Sánchez, Mariano
dc.contributor.author Toscano Pardo, David
dc.date.accessioned 2022-04-24T16:06:52Z
dc.date.available 2022-04-25T04:45:06Z
dc.date.issued 2021 es_ES
dc.identifier.citation Fullana O, González M, Toscano D. The Role of Assumptions in Ohlson Model Performance: Lessons for Improving Equity-Value Modeling. Mathematics. 2021; 9(5):513. es_ES
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/10550/82349
dc.description.abstract In this paper, we test whether the short-run econometric conditions for the basic assumptions of the Ohlson valuation model hold, and then we relate these results with the fulfillment of the short-run econometric conditions for this model to be effective. Better future modeling motivated us to analyze to what extent the assumptions involved in this seminal model are not good enough approximations to solve the firm valuation problem, causing poor model performance. The model is based on the well-known dividend discount model and the residual income valuation model, and it adds a linear information model, which is a time series model by nature. Therefore, we adopt the time series approach. In the presence of non-stationary variables, we focus our research on US-listed firms for which more than forty years of data with the required cointegration properties to use error correction models are available. The results show that the clean surplus relation assumption has no impact on model performance, while the unbiased accounting property assumption has an important effect on it. The results also emphasize the uselessness of forcing valuation models to match the value displacement property of dividends. es_ES
dc.language.iso en es_ES
dc.subject clean surplus relation es_ES
dc.subject conservatism correction es_ES
dc.subject displacement property es_ES
dc.subject discount dividends model (ddm) es_ES
dc.subject error correction model (ecm) es_ES
dc.subject ohlson valuation model es_ES
dc.subject information dynamics model (lim) es_ES
dc.subject residual income valuation model (rim) es_ES
dc.title The role of assumptions in ohlson model performance: lessons for improving equity-value modeling es_ES
dc.type journal article es_ES
dc.subject.unesco UNESCO::CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.3390/math9050513 es_ES
dc.accrualmethod S es_ES
dc.embargo.terms 0 days es_ES

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