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Goals and guesses as reference points: a field experiment on student performance

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Goals and guesses as reference points: a field experiment on student performance

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dc.contributor.author Sabater Grande, Gerardo
dc.contributor.author Georgantzís, Nikolaos
dc.contributor.author Herranz Zarzoso, Noemí
dc.date.accessioned 2023-07-05T11:00:07Z
dc.date.available 2023-07-06T04:45:07Z
dc.date.issued 2022 es_ES
dc.identifier.citation Sabater-Grande, G., Georgantzís, N. & Herranz-Zarzoso, N. Goals and guesses as reference points: a field experiment on student performance. Theory Decis 94, 249–274 (2023). es_ES
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/10550/88622
dc.description.abstract In this paper, we study overconfidence and goal-setting in academic performance, with and without monetary incentives. Students enrolled in a microeconomics course were offered the possibility of setting their own target grade before taking part in the final exam. They were also asked to guess their grade immediately after they had taken the exam (“post-diction”). In general, students overestimated their performance, both at the goal-setting and at the post-diction stages. Controlling for several sources of this bias (cognitive abilities, academic record and self-reported academic confidence), we find that the use of monetary rewards mitigates the overestimation of potential achievements and eliminates overestimation of actual achievements through the improvement of actual performance. Our results suggest that monetary incentives do not cause subjects to put more effort into correct guesses but make them put more effort into academic performance. Using students’ academic records to measure overall skill, we find a strong Dunning–Kruger bias which is intensified in the presence of monetary rewards. es_ES
dc.language.iso en es_ES
dc.publisher Springer Link es_ES
dc.subject overconfidence bias es_ES
dc.subject reference points es_ES
dc.subject self-chosen goals es_ES
dc.subject postdictions es_ES
dc.subject monetary incentives es_ES
dc.subject dunning es_ES
dc.subject kruger cognitive bias es_ES
dc.title Goals and guesses as reference points: a field experiment on student performance es_ES
dc.type journal article es_ES
dc.subject.unesco UNESCO::CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS es_ES
dc.identifier.doi 10.1007/s11238-022-09892-x es_ES
dc.accrualmethod S es_ES
dc.embargo.terms 0 days es_ES
dc.type.hasVersion VoR es_ES
dc.rights.accessRights open access es_ES

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